Summary
| Canonical name | Qilin |
| Aliases | Agenda (original brand, 2022); tracked as Qilin by Trend Micro, Group-IB, and HHS HC3; MITRE ATT&CK S1242 |
| Motivation | Financial |
| Threat classification | Cybercrime. Ransomware-as-a-service, double extortion |
| Assessed origin | Russia (high confidence) |
| First seen | July 2022 as Agenda; Rust rewrite December 2022 |
| Status | Active. Among the most active ransomware operations from mid-2025 through H1 2026 |
| Most recent confirmed victim | U.S. ATF, agency-confirmed 2026-08-26 |
| Available information | High |
| Profile author | Jon DiMaggio, Arkem Cyber |
| Date of activity | July 2022 to present |
| Last updated | 2026-08-28 (v2.9) |
| Overall confidence | Moderate |
Identity
Qilin first appeared as Agenda in July 2022. Trend Micro documented the first Golang samples that August, the first victim appeared on the leak site in October, and the operators rewrote the malware in Rust in December. HighS1,S3 The operators changed the name to Qilin in September 2022 but continued using both names. Researchers still use Agenda, and Trend Micro, Group-IB, and HHS HC3 treat Agenda and Qilin as the same operation. MITRE ATT&CK tracks the malware as S1242. ConfirmedS1,S2 HighS1,S3,S4
The operation remains active. Multiple vendors ranked Qilin as the most active ransomware operation for much of the period from mid-2025 through H1 2026, when it posted new victims to its leak site every week. Its lead narrowed in Q2 2026. Most trackers still placed Qilin first for the quarter, with The Gentlemen a close second, though ReliaQuest put The Gentlemen first. The Gentlemen took the monthly lead in June 2026, and Qilin's monthly output fell by roughly a third from April to June. The U.S. ATF is its most recent confirmed victim; the agency confirmed the incident on 2026-08-26. HighS5,S6,S7,S8
I assess with high confidence that Qilin operates from Russia. The public indicators support this: Russian-language affiliate recruitment on RAMP, an affiliate rule against attacking CIS targets, and CIS-locale exclusion built into the encryptor. My confidence also rests on additional Arkem reporting beyond these public indicators. The Chinese-mythology name does not establish a Chinese connection, and I found no source tying the operators to China. HighS1,S3,S9,S67
Figure 1. Affiliate ecosystem. Each link is attributed to its source and coded by confidence. Confirmed links, Moonstone Sleet and the Group-IB panel, are separated from reported or unverified ones such as the alleged DragonForce coalition and the code-overlap lineage.
Operating model
Qilin runs a ransomware-as-a-service program built around double extortion. The core operators maintain the encryptor, leak site, and negotiation infrastructure, while affiliates conduct the intrusions. Group-IB infiltrated the program in March 2023 through a private Tox conversation with the recruiter Haise and documented the affiliate structure, payment split, and sections of the admin panel. HighS3 Affiliates reportedly keep about 80% of ransoms up to USD 3 million and about 85% above that. The operators take the remainder. ModerateS3,S10
The operation recruited affiliates on the Russian-language RAMP forum, where Group-IB tied its 2023 activity to Haise. The FBI seized RAMP on 2026-01-28, and its administrator, Stallman, said he would not rebuild it. Qilin moved its recruitment to other forums. ModerateS3,S10 / on RAMP seizureConfirmedS55,S56 First-party collection later observed a Qilin-branded recruitment thread on RootSploit from 2025-12-25 through 2026-07-17. The thread remained active across the RAMP seizure, sought experienced Active Directory pentest teams, and directed applicants to the public Tox address listed in the Indicators. The account advertised four encryption modes, Safe Mode execution, log and shadow-copy clearing, network spread, a build configurator, Call Lawyer support, and Rust for Windows with C for Linux and ESXi. Those features match vendor reporting on Qilin (S51, S6). The dated thread and Tox are direct observations, and I assess the account as genuine Qilin recruitment rather than an imposter. observation: thread, dates, ToxHighS53 first-party, Tier 1 / genuine Qilin recruitmentHighS51,S53
Qilin gains affiliates but also loses experienced operators. ArmCorp, a high-volume affiliate using the handle Hastalamuerte, began building its own encryptor by about 2025-07-17. Days later, it argued publicly with Qilin's operators on RAMP over withheld payouts. Group-IB assesses that the dispute provided cover for a planned exit rather than causing it. ArmCorp launched The Gentlemen on 2025-09-12 as a competing service with a 90/10 split, and PRODAFT records The Gentlemen's operators as former affiliates of Qilin, Embargo, LockBit, Medusa, and BlackLock. on defection, dispute, datesModerateS49,S50,S52 / on the reported USD 48,000 commissionLowS54
Qilin also recruited affiliates displaced by the shutdown of ALPHV/BlackCat and RansomHub and by LockBit's decline after Operation Cronos. LockBit still operates, but at a fraction of its former scale. Vendors connect that influx to Qilin's growth in 2025, and at least one state actor has used the service. ModerateS6,S11 The operators began advertising DDoS support around April 2025 and a Call Lawyer feature in mid-2025. They claim Call Lawyer connects affiliates with legal counsel who can pressure victims, but I found no evidence confirming that claimed support. UnverifiedS12,S13
Linked actors and reported relationships
North Korea's Moonstone Sleet, formerly Storm-1789, developed its own ransomware called FakePenny. Microsoft attributed FakePenny to the group in May 2024 after an April 2024 attack with a USD 6.6 million demand. Beginning in February 2025, Moonstone Sleet also deployed Qilin in a small number of attacks. Microsoft reports that this was the first time the group used a RaaS operator's payload instead of its own. on FakePennyHighS58 / on Qilin deploymentHighS14
The other reported relationships are less certain. Several vendors identify Scattered Spider as a Qilin affiliate or partner, but I did not find evidence confirming the relationship. ModerateS6,S11 Arkana Security appeared in March 2025 using "Qilin Network" branding, but that relationship also remains unverified. UnverifiedS11 Researchers have reported infrastructure overlap with BianLian and code similarities between early Agenda samples and Black Basta, BlackMatter, and REvil. That may point to a shared development source in the Russian cybercrime underground, but it does not establish lineage. LowS11
DragonForce promoted a coalition with Qilin and LockBit in September 2025. An account named "dragonforce" posted the proposal on RAMP on 2025-09-15, LockBit replied in agreement, and Qilin flatly denied any alliance or sharing of software, infrastructure, or affiliates when researchers asked. Five independent analyses (ZeroFox, DataBreaches.net, Yarix, Halcyon, and SuspectFile) found no shared infrastructure, tooling, or joint operations. The cartel framing traces to ReliaQuest's Q3 2025 report, which said the collaboration was "expected to" facilitate sharing, a forward-looking expectation rather than an observation; some secondary outlets later upgraded that to "traced shared infrastructure," which the primary does not support. DragonForce's encryptors are built from the LockBit 3.0 builder that leaked publicly in September 2022, which many groups adopted. That points to LockBit losing control of its builder, not to a relationship with LockBit, and Qilin has no such lineage. UnverifiedS15,S16,S59,S60,S61,S62,S63,S68
Targeting
Qilin targets organizations worldwide across many sectors. Manufacturing accounts for roughly 14 to 23% of claimed victims in vendor datasets, more than any other sector, followed by professional and scientific services, technology, and healthcare. The victim lists also include energy, financial services, retail and wholesale, education, and government. HighS6,S17,S18 Vendor datasets place victims in 60 to 108 countries. GuidePoint reported that the United States accounted for about 51% of victims in Q1 2026, with the UK, Canada, France, and Germany following at much lower levels. In September and October 2025, the Korean Leaks campaign caused a spike in South Korean financial-sector victims after an upstream MSP was compromised. HighS17,S19
The operation bars affiliates from attacking CIS targets, including Russia and Belarus, and its encryptor avoids CIS locales. I base that assessment on the affiliate rules and malware behavior. I did not find a published builder configuration that confirms it. ModerateS9,S20
Confirmed victims
The most consequential confirmed Qilin incident is the 2024 attack on Synnovis, a UK NHS pathology provider. Synnovis confirmed the attack on 2024-06-03 after it disrupted pathology and blood testing across King's College Hospital, Guy's and St Thomas', and other trusts. More than 10,000 outpatient appointments and about 1,700 elective procedures were affected. In June 2025, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust confirmed that a delayed blood-test result caused by the attack contributed to a patient's death, the first UK fatality publicly linked to a cyberattack. Synnovis placed direct costs above GBP 32 million, while some case studies cite as much as GBP 37.7 million. Qilin demanded USD 50 million and published about 400 GB of data on 2024-06-20 after non-payment. ConfirmedS21,S22,S23
Asahi Group Holdings confirmed a ransomware attack and data theft in late September and October 2025. The incident disrupted production across much of the Japanese brewer's roughly 30 factories and reportedly caused tens of millions of dollars in lost revenue. Qilin claimed responsibility and said it stole about 27 GB of data. The intrusion and disruption are victim-confirmed; the amount of stolen data remains an actor claim. on incidentHighS24,S25 / on data-theft specificsUnverifiedS24
ATF confirmed a cybersecurity incident involving a standalone system that held information on agency investigation targets, and DOJ designated it a major incident on 2026-08-26. ATF did not attribute the breach to Qilin. Qilin listed the agency on its leak site that week but did not post sample data. on breachConfirmedS26 / on Qilin attributionUnverifiedS26 Other victim-acknowledged incidents reported by credible media include Lee Enterprises, Cobb County in Georgia, Covenant Health, and Court Services Victoria in Australia. HighS6,S27
Claimed activity
Leak-site counts are not confirmed breach totals. Depending on the tracker, Qilin has made more than 1,900 to more than 2,200 claims since the operation began, with more than 800 in 2026. UnverifiedS8,S28 Notable claims include Malaysia Airlines and Malaysia Airports in February 2026; Nissan Creative Box, with about 4 TB claimed, in August 2025; International Game Technology; SK Group; Volkswagen Group France, with about 150 GB claimed; and the Church of Scientology. UnverifiedS25,S29
Figure 2. Claimed-victim volume, 2023 to 2026. These are self-claimed leak-site listings aggregated by third-party trackers, not confirmed breaches. Vendor methods and totals differ.
Tradecraft
Initial access varies by affiliate. Common methods include compromised or stolen VPN credentials, often for accounts without MFA and sometimes purchased from access brokers; spear-phishing; and exploitation of internet-facing remote-access and backup appliances. One Qilin intrusion should not be used as a template for all of them. HighS30,S31
Across affiliate intrusions, researchers have observed Valid Accounts (T1078), Exploit Public-Facing Application (T1190), and Phishing (T1566) for initial access. Credential theft includes LSASS dumping with embedded Mimikatz (T1003.001). Sophos also documented mass theft of Chrome-stored credentials through a logon GPO and PowerShell in 2024 (T1555.003, T1552.001). Affiliates move laterally with PsExec, RDP, and WinRM (T1570, T1021.002). They bring their own vulnerable drivers to disable EDR (T1068, T1562.001) and run the Linux encryptor inside Windows Subsystem for Linux to evade Windows EDR (T1202). For impact, Qilin deletes shadow copies and ESXi VM snapshots (T1490) and encrypts data (T1486). Exfiltration tools include Rclone, MEGA, and FTP (T1567). HighS32,S33,S34
The encryptor can also reboot a host into Safe Mode, log in automatically, and run the payload again. It creates a Run-key value with an asterisk prefix, forcing the entry to execute in Safe Mode (Registry Run Keys T1547.001, Safe Mode Boot T1562.009). This defeats recovery attempts based on rebooting into Safe Mode. Incident-response analysis found the value pointing to a payload in C:\PerfLogs. First-party recruitment material advertised the feature, and vendor reporting confirms it. ModerateS48,S51,S53
Exploited CVEs
Every entry in this table has a source that specifically names Qilin exploitation. The broader FortiGuard capability-association list does not meet that standard and is not treated as confirmed exploitation.
| CVE | Product / vector | Qilin linkage | Confidence | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVE-2023-27532 | Veeam Backup & Replication, credential extraction | Named in Qilin intrusions | High | S35 |
| CVE-2024-21762 | Fortinet FortiOS/FortiProxy, RCE | Qilin-linked Phantom Mantis campaign, PRODAFT, May to June 2025 | High | S30 |
| CVE-2024-55591 | Fortinet FortiOS/FortiProxy, auth bypass | Qilin-linked Phantom Mantis campaign, PRODAFT, May to June 2025 | High | S30 |
| CVE-2025-31324 | SAP NetWeaver Visual Composer, unauth file upload | Exploited before public disclosure, overlapping Qilin tactics and infrastructure | High | S36 |
| CVE-2026-50751 | Check Point Remote Access VPN, IKEv1 auth bypass, CVSS 9.3 | Exploited in the wild from 2026-05-07; one post-compromise case tied to a Qilin affiliate; CISA KEV June 2026 | High exploitation, Moderate Qilin attribution | S37, S38 |
| CVE-2026-0257 | Palo Alto PAN-OS GlobalProtect, auth bypass | June 2026 intrusions moving to Qilin ransomware, Arctic Wolf | High | S39 |
FortiGuard associates roughly four dozen additional CVEs with Qilin operators. It presents them as a capability-association list, not as confirmed Qilin exploitation. I excluded them from the table for that reason. LowS40
The original encryptor was written in Golang, and the operators moved to Rust in December 2022. The Qilin.B variant, first reported in October 2024, uses AES-256-CTR and RSA-4096 and can tamper with services and logs before deleting itself. Qilin runs on Windows and Linux and has a purpose-built ESXi variant that stops VMs, releases VMDK locks, and deletes snapshots. Tools seen across affiliate intrusions include embedded Mimikatz, Cobalt Strike, PsExec, WMIC, AnyDesk, ScreenConnect, Splashtop, Rclone, and MEGA. HighS1,S32,S34
Qilin normally uses double extortion. Affiliates encrypt systems and threaten to publish stolen data on the leak site, although some activity from 2024 through 2026 relied more heavily on data theft for pressure. Reported demands range from tens of thousands of dollars to tens of millions; Qilin demanded USD 50 million from Synnovis. HighS3,S22 I found no legitimate free Qilin decryptor as of mid-2026. Multiple vendors report the same, and Qilin does not appear on the No More Ransom project. Recovery depends on backups. Sites promising a guaranteed Qilin decryptor are selling data-recovery services, not offering a free tool. HighS46,S47
Infrastructure and finance
Qilin runs a Tor leak site known as the Qilin blog and added a clearnet mirror branded WikiLeaksV2 in May 2024. The mirror copies the name of a well-known disclosure organization and exposes victim data to search engines instead of keeping it behind Tor. Qilin also hosts individual victim dumps on separate onion addresses. Its leak infrastructure is unreliable and has gone offline for several days at a time. Negotiations take place through dark-web portals and Tox. HighS41,S42
Flare surfaced a Tor-forum repost of an April 2026 incident-response analysis covering a Qilin intrusion from mid-2025. The analyst recovered a ransom note that identified wikileaks2.site as the media page and listed two onion addresses for the leak blog. This shows that Qilin payloads still referenced WikiLeaksV2 during the July 2025 incident. Public reporting indicates the .site domain has since lapsed to registrar parking, while the operational WikiLeaksV2 mirror is wikileaks2.com, live since May 2024 and actively posting victims. The Indicators section includes the two onion addresses and the FTP and staging IPs from the same report, all in defanged form. ModerateS48,S64,S66
Indicators (defanged)
Indicators are defanged ([.], [:]) for safe handling. They are provided for detection, blocking, and pivoting. Long hex strings and onion addresses were transcribed from dark-web sources. Verify them before automated ingestion. Each row includes confidence and provenance.
Infrastructure and contact
| Type | Indicator | Association / confidence | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clearnet mirror | wikileaks2[.]com |
Qilin WikiLeaksV2 clearnet mirror, live since May 2024 and actively posting victims (about 141 listings in a trailing 30-day window as of May 2026). Also tracked as wikileaksv2[.]com at 31.41.244[.]100. Moderate. |
S64, S65 |
| Clearnet URL (lapsed) | wikileaks2[.]site |
Clearnet URL embedded in a recovered Qilin ransom note. Registered 2025-03-02, ran behind Cloudflare, not renewed; lapsed to registrar parking around 2026-03-02 and likely inactive. Low. | S48, S66 |
| Qilin-linked onion | kbsqoivihgdmwczmxkbovk7ss2dcynitwhhfu5yw725dboqo5kthfaad[.]onion |
Listed in the recovered ransom note (mid-2025 incident); current service role unverified (trackers report leak-blog vs DDoS-protection differently). Low, single Tier 3 source. | S48 |
| Qilin-linked onion | ijzn3sicrcy7guixkzjkib4ukbiilwc3xhnmby4mcbccnsd7j2rekvqd[.]onion |
Listed in the same recovered ransom note; current service role unverified. Low, single Tier 3 source. | S48 |
| Recruitment Tox | 7C35408411AEEBD53CDBCEBAB167D7B22F1E66614E89DFCB62EE835416F60E1BCD6995152B68 |
Public Tox from the "Qilin" recruitment account on RootSploit. First observed 2025-12-25, last observed 2026-07-17; not re-confirmed live since. High as a first-party observation. | S53 |
| FTP / staging IP | 85.209.11[.]49 |
Listed as public Qilin FTP/staging infrastructure in an IR writeup. Low, single Tier 3 source, not re-confirmed. | S48 |
| FTP / staging IP | 176.113.115[.]97 |
As above. Low. | S48 |
| FTP / staging IP | 176.113.115[.]209 |
As above. Low. | S48 |
| FTP / staging IP | 185.196.10[.]52 |
As above. Low. | S48 |
| FTP / staging IP | 64.176.162[.]76 |
As above. Low. | S48 |
Personas / handles
| Handle | Context | Confidence | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
Qilin |
Recruitment account on RootSploit, public Tox above | Observed | S53 |
Haise |
RAMP recruiter persona tied to affiliate recruitment | Moderate | S3 |
Hastalamuerte / ArmCorp |
Former high-volume Qilin affiliate; defected to launch The Gentlemen in 2025 | Moderate | S49, S50 |
Cry0, ShadowByt3 |
Prospective-affiliate handles in 2026 recruitment chatter; not tied to confirmed Qilin activity | Unverified | S53 |
Finance
No verified Qilin-specific revenue total exists. GuidePoint's GRIT 2026 report provides the most detailed actor-specific chain analysis I found. It identified at least 128 on-chain payments against 869 victims posted in 2025, for a payment rate of at least about 14.79%. Wallets tied to Qilin and its affiliates received at least about USD 47 million in 2025, with an average payment of about USD 366,000. Those figures are lower bounds based only on observable on-chain payments, not a verified total. Chainalysis documented the wider 2025 trend: total ransomware payments fell about 8% to roughly USD 820 million while claimed attacks rose about 50%. About 28% of victims paid, and the median payment increased to roughly USD 60,000. ModerateS43,S44
No Tier 1 chain analysis provides a lifetime revenue figure for Qilin. GRIT's estimate of roughly USD 47 million in on-chain receipts for 2025 is the strongest available data point, but it remains a lower bound. Weaker reporting claims Qilin collected more than USD 50 million in 2024, and I found no Tier 1 corroboration for that figure. Synnovis and Asahi each reported victim-side losses in the tens to hundreds of millions, but those costs are not Qilin revenue. Every figure in this section should be treated as a dated estimate, not a verified total. ModerateS43,S22,S24 Reported demands range from tens of thousands of dollars to the USD 50 million Qilin demanded from Synnovis and scale with the size of the target. ModerateS22
Timeline
Figure 3. Operational timeline. Green nodes are government, vendor, or victim-confirmed. Red nodes are self-claimed or unverified.
- July 2022: Qilin begins as Agenda. Trend Micro documents the first Golang samples the following month. HighS1,S3
- September 2022: The operators rename it Qilin and later rewrite the malware in Rust. HighS1,S3
- December 2022: The Rust variant appears with intermittent encryption and stronger evasion. HighS3
- March 2023: Group-IB infiltrates the operation and documents the affiliate panel, builder, 80/85 payment split, and the RAMP recruiter Haise. HighS3
- June 2024: HHS HC3 publishes a Qilin threat profile. Qilin attacks Synnovis on 2024-06-03, disrupts London pathology services, demands USD 50 million, and publishes about 400 GB on 2024-06-20 after non-payment. ConfirmedS4,S22
- July and August 2024: Sophos documents the group using a logon GPO to steal Chrome-stored credentials, unusual tradecraft for a ransomware operation. HighS32
- February and March 2025: Microsoft observes Moonstone Sleet deploying Qilin, its first known use of a RaaS payload instead of its own FakePenny ransomware. HighS14
- April to June 2025: Researchers report Qilin-linked exploitation of FortiGate CVEs in the Phantom Mantis campaign and pre-disclosure exploitation of SAP NetWeaver CVE-2025-31324. HighS30,S36
- June 2025: King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust confirms disruption from the Synnovis attack contributed to a patient's death. ConfirmedS23
- September 2025: An account named "dragonforce" proposes a coalition with Qilin and LockBit on RAMP. Qilin denies any alliance, and four independent analyses find no technical evidence of joint operations. UnverifiedS15,S16,S59
- September and October 2025: The Korean Leaks campaign hits about 28 South Korean financial-sector victims through an upstream MSP. Bitdefender reports possible Moonstone Sleet involvement, and Qilin claims the victim-confirmed Asahi intrusion. on campaignHighS19,S24 / on state involvementModerateS19
- Late 2025: Vendors rank Qilin the year's most active operation, with trackers recording more than 1,000 claimed victims and more than 40 claims a month in the second half. HighS6,S17
- 2026-01-28: The FBI seizes RAMP, the main forum where Qilin recruited affiliates. Authorities do not charge Qilin's operators or take down its infrastructure, and recruitment moves elsewhere. Rapid7 tracks migration to Tierone and Rehub. ConfirmedS55,S56,S57
- Q1 and Q2 2026: Qilin's lead narrows. Most trackers rank it first for Q2 with The Gentlemen a close second, though ReliaQuest ranks The Gentlemen first. The Gentlemen takes the June monthly lead, and Qilin's monthly output falls by roughly a third from April to June. HighS8,S45,S61
- May and June 2026: Researchers report Qilin-affiliate exploitation of Check Point VPN CVE-2026-50751 from 2026-05-07 and Palo Alto PAN-OS CVE-2026-0257. CISA adds the Check Point flaw to KEV. HighS37,S38,S39
- 2026-08-26: ATF confirms a cybersecurity incident that DOJ designates a major incident. Qilin had listed the agency on its leak site. on breachConfirmedS26 / on attributionUnverifiedS26
Law enforcement and legal
I found no indictments, takedowns, arrests, or infrastructure seizures against Qilin's core operators or infrastructure as of 2026-08-28. Gap The FBI's 2026-01-28 seizure of RAMP affected a shared recruitment venue rather than Qilin itself. Qilin had used the forum to recruit affiliates and moved that activity to other forums after the seizure. Rapid7 documented migration to Tierone and Rehub. ConfirmedS55,S56,S57
The U.S. Treasury sanctioned the Aeza Group bulletproof-hosting operation in July 2025. Treasury named BianLian and other groups that used Aeza, but it did not name Qilin. LowS11 I found no OFAC or DOJ designation specific to Qilin as of 2026-08-28. Gap HHS HC3 published a Qilin threat profile in June 2024, and CIS and MS-ISAC published a Qilin advisory in Q2 2025. I found no dedicated CISA or FBI StopRansomware advisory for the group. HighS4,S18
Analyst assessment
Qilin has remained active because it runs a competitive RaaS program and continues to attract affiliates. It became the most active ransomware brand of 2025 and held or shared the top position into H1 2026. No single campaign explains that growth. Qilin offers affiliates an 80 to 85% share, supports Windows, Linux, and ESXi, and uses a clearnet leak mirror to increase pressure on victims. It also recruited affiliates displaced by the shutdown of ALPHV/BlackCat and RansomHub and by LockBit's decline.
The affiliate model is the main attribution problem in this card. The same Qilin payload can appear in intrusions run by actors with different skills, targets, and objectives. Microsoft confirmed that North Korea's Moonstone Sleet deployed Qilin. Other affiliates are ordinary financially motivated criminals. You cannot treat their tradecraft as if it came from one crew.
I found no technical evidence supporting the coalition that DragonForce promoted with Qilin and LockBit in September 2025. Qilin denied any alliance, and four independent analyses found no shared infrastructure or operations. DragonForce's use of the leaked LockBit 3.0 builder is its own lineage and does not tie Qilin to LockBit. I rate the overall assessment Moderate because Qilin is a multi-affiliate service, most victim counts come from the group's own leak site, and no verified Qilin-specific revenue total exists. Moderatederived
Outlook
Without law-enforcement disruption, I assess that Qilin will very likely remain among the two or three most active ransomware operations through the rest of 2026. It may not stay in first place. The Gentlemen is growing quickly, and researchers tracked more than 90 active groups in Q2 2026. Qilin affiliates will likely continue to weaponize new flaws in edge devices and remote-access products, hit healthcare and manufacturing, and expand activity in Asia-Pacific. Do not treat claims of a LockBit or DragonForce coalition as evidence of joint operations. Qilin denied it, and the available evidence points to marketing rather than shared operations. Low–Moderatederived
Intelligence gaps
The identities and location of Qilin's core operators remain unresolved. Haise, the RAMP recruiter, is the only known handle, and no dox, indictment, or sanction ties that persona to a real identity. The real-name attribution for Hastalamuerte and ArmCorp identifies the administrator of The Gentlemen, a former Qilin affiliate. It does not identify Qilin's core operators.
Cry0 still needs adjudication. First-party collection records the handle as a prospective Qilin affiliate, but reporting on the T1erOne forum also describes Cry0 as a separate group. I could not resolve which entity the name identifies. ShadowByt3 appears in the same 2026 recruitment chatter but remains an unverified lead with no tie to confirmed Qilin activity.
No verified Qilin-specific revenue total exists. Chain analysis provides a lower bound, not a final number. Trackers list more than 1,900 to more than 2,200 self-claimed victims, but only a small subset are confirmed breaches, and vendor totals differ because their methods differ.
I found no verified operational alliance among Qilin, LockBit, and DragonForce. DragonForce promoted the coalition, Qilin denied it, and no technical evidence supports shared operations. The boundary between Qilin's core operators, ordinary affiliates, and state users such as Moonstone Sleet also remains unresolved, preventing clean attribution at the brand level.
Qilin's leak infrastructure is unreliable, and WikiLeaksV2 is not consistently available. The wikileaks2.site URL from the recovered ransom note has since lapsed to registrar parking, while the operational clearnet mirror wikileaks2.com remains active (S64, S66).
Sources
- S1: Tier 2 Trend Micro, "New Golang Ransomware Agenda Customizes Attacks" and related Agenda/Qilin analysis, https://www.trendmicro.com/en_us/research/22/h/new-golang-ransomware-agenda-customizes-attacks.html, accessed 2026-08-28
- S2: Tier 1 MITRE ATT&CK, "Qilin, Software S1242", https://attack.mitre.org/software/S1242/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S3: Tier 2 Group-IB, "Qilin ransomware: inside the affiliate program and admin panel", https://www.group-ib.com/blog/qilin-ransomware/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S4: Tier 1 HHS HC3, "Qilin, aka Agenda Ransomware — Threat Profile (TLP:CLEAR)", https://www.aha.org/system/files/media/file/2024/06/tlp-clear-hc3-threat-profile-qilin-aka-agenda-ransomware-6-18-2024.pdf, 2024-06-18, accessed 2026-08-28
- S5: Tier 2 Halcyon, "Qilin — threat group profile", https://www.halcyon.ai/threat-group/qilin, accessed 2026-08-28
- S6: Tier 2 MOXFIVE, "Qilin Ransomware 2026: TTPs, Victims and Defense Guide", https://www.moxfive.com/blog/qilin-ransomware-2026-ttps-victims-and-defense-guide, accessed 2026-08-28
- S7: Tier 2 Cisco Talos / Trend Micro (via The Record), "Researchers warn of Qilin ransomware gang after group hit hundreds of orgs", https://therecord.media/qilin-ransomware-gang-hits-hundreds-of-orgs-2025, accessed 2026-08-28
- S8: Tier 2 GuidePoint Security (GRIT), "Q2 2026 Ransomware & Cyber Threat Insights Report", https://www.guidepointsecurity.com/resources/grit-q2-2026-ransomware-cyber-threat-insights-report/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S9: Tier 2 Group-IB / INCYBER, "Group-IB has infiltrated RaaS Qilin" (CIS-target prohibition), https://incyber.org/en/group-ib-has-infiltrated-raas-qilin/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S10: Tier 2 The Hacker News (citing Group-IB), "Inside Qilin Ransomware: Affiliates Take Home 85% of Ransom Payouts", https://thehackernews.com/2023/05/inside-qilin-ransomware-affiliates-take.html, accessed 2026-08-28
- S11: Tier 2 Halcyon, "Qilin — threat group profile" (affiliate absorption, BianLian/code-overlap, Arkana), https://www.halcyon.ai/threat-group/qilin, accessed 2026-08-28
- S12: Tier 2 FortiGuard Labs, "Qilin Ransomware — Threat Actor" ('Call Lawyer' feature), https://www.fortiguard.com/threat-actor/6254/qilin-ransomware, accessed 2026-08-28
- S13: Tier 2 Qualys, "Qilin Ransomware Explained" (legal support, DDoS), https://blog.qualys.com/vulnerabilities-threat-research/2025/06/18/qilin-ransomware-explained-threats-risks-defenses, accessed 2026-08-28
- S14: [Tier 2, relaying] Primary is Microsoft Threat Intelligence (MSTIC), reporting Moonstone Sleet's first use of a RaaS-operator payload (Qilin) since late February 2025 (https://x.com/MsftSecIntel/status/1912906407239655833); relayed by BleepingComputer and SecurityAffairs, https://securityaffairs.com/175178/apt/north-korea-linked-apt-moonstone-used-qilin-ransomware.html, 2025-03-10, accessed 2026-08-28
- S15: Tier 2 ZeroFox, "Flash Report: Rumored New Coalition of Ransomware Groups Yet to Materialize", https://www.zerofox.com/intelligence/flash-report-rumored-new-coalition-of-ransomware-groups-yet-to-materialize/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S16: Tier 3 DataBreaches.net, "The Alliance That Wasn't: A Critical Analysis of ReliaQuest's Q3 2025 Ransomware Report", https://databreaches.net/2025/10/16/the-alliance-that-wasnt-a-critical-analysis-of-reliaquests-q3-2025-ransomware-report/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S17: Tier 2 Cisco Talos / Comparitech (via Industrial Cyber), "Qilin ransomware escalates rapidly in 2025", https://industrialcyber.co/ransomware/qilin-ransomware-escalates-rapidly-in-2025-targeting-critical-sectors-with-700-attacks-amid-ransomhub-shutdown/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S18: Tier 1 CIS / MS-ISAC, "Qilin: Top Ransomware Threat to SLTTs in Q2 2025", https://www.cisecurity.org/insights/blog/qilin-top-ransomware-threat-to-sltts-in-q2-2025, accessed 2026-08-28
- S19: Tier 2 Bitdefender, "The Korean Leaks — Hybrid Geopolitical Campaign Targeting South Korean Financial Services With Qilin RaaS", https://www.bitdefender.com/en-us/blog/businessinsights/korean-leaks-campaign-targets-south-korean-financial-services-qilin-ransomware, accessed 2026-08-28
- S20: Tier 2 Infosecurity Magazine, "Qilin Ransomware Gang Claims Asahi Cyber-Attack" (CIS-exclusion instruction), https://www.infosecurity-magazine.com/news/qilin-ransomware-asahi-cyber-attack/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S21: Tier 2 The Register, "Qilin ransomware attack on NHS supplier contributed to patient fatality", https://www.theregister.com/2025/06/26/qilin_ransomware_nhs_death/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S22: Tier 2 HIPAA Journal, "NHS Pathology Provider Synnovis Notifies Organizations Affected by June 2024 Ransomware Attack" ($50M demand, 400GB, timeline), https://www.hipaajournal.com/care-disrupted-at-london-hospitals-due-to-ransomware-attack-on-pathology-vendor/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S23: Tier 1 King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust statement (via Infosecurity Magazine), "Patient Death Linked to NHS Cyber-Attack", https://www.infosecurity-magazine.com/news/patient-death-linked-nhs-cyber/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S24: Tier 2 BleepingComputer, "Qilin ransomware claims Asahi brewery attack, leaks data", https://www.bleepingcomputer.com/news/security/qilin-ransomware-claims-asahi-brewery-attack-leaks-data/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S25: Tier 3 Cybernews, "Malaysia Airlines claimed by Qilin ransomware" (2025–2026 high-profile claims list), https://cybernews.com/news/malaysian-airlines-qilin-ransomware-attack-claim/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S26: Tier 1 U.S. ATF / DOJ press statement (via The Record and SecurityWeek), "DOJ firearms agency says hackers breached system containing investigation targets", https://therecord.media/doj-atf-cyberattack-qilin-ransomware, 2026-08-26, accessed 2026-08-28
- S27: Tier 2 CybelAngel, "Qilin Ransomware: Attack Methods and 2026 Status" (victim roster), https://cybelangel.com/blog/qilin-ransomware-tactics-attack/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S28: Tier 3 Tampa Free Press, "DOJ Confirms Ransomware Attack On ATF Claimed By Russian Cyber Gang" (~1,900 claimed / 891 in 2026), https://www.tampafp.com/doj-confirms-ransomware-attack-on-atf-claimed-by-russian-cyber-gang/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S29: Tier 2 Cybernews, "Qilin ransomware by the numbers", https://cybernews.com/cybercrime/qilin-ransomware-by-the-numbers-a-look-inside-one-of-the-most-prolific-groups/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S30: Tier 2 PRODAFT (via BleepingComputer), "Critical Fortinet flaws now exploited in Qilin ransomware attacks", https://www.bleepingcomputer.com/news/security/critical-fortinet-flaws-now-exploited-in-qilin-ransomware-attacks/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S31: Tier 2 Sophos X-Ops, "Qilin ransomware caught stealing credentials stored in Google Chrome" (initial access via unprotected VPN), https://www.sophos.com/en-us/blog/qilin-ransomware-caught-stealing-credentials-stored-in-google-chrome, accessed 2026-08-28
- S32: Tier 2 Sophos X-Ops, "Qilin ransomware caught stealing credentials stored in Google Chrome", https://www.sophos.com/en-us/blog/qilin-ransomware-caught-stealing-credentials-stored-in-google-chrome, 2024-08-22, accessed 2026-08-28
- S33: Tier 1 MITRE ATT&CK, "Qilin, Software S1242" (technique mappings), https://attack.mitre.org/software/S1242/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S34: Tier 2 Trend Micro / Cisco Talos, "Agenda Ransomware Deploys Linux Variant on Windows Systems Through RMM and BYOVD" (WSL evasion, ESXi), https://www.trendmicro.com/en_us/research/24/c/agenda-ransomware-propagates-to-vcenters-and-esxi-via-custom-pow.html, accessed 2026-08-28
- S35: Tier 2 SANS Institute, "The Evolution of Qilin RaaS" (Veeam CVE-2023-27532), https://www.sans.org/blog/evolution-qilin-raas, accessed 2026-08-28
- S36: Tier 2 OP Innovate, "SAP Zero — How Qilin Exploited CVE-2025-31324 Weeks Before Public Disclosure", https://op-c.net/blog/sap-cve-2025-31324-qilin-breach/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S37: Tier 2 Check Point (via SecurityWeek), "Check Point VPN Zero-Day Exploited in Qilin Ransomware Attacks" (CVE-2026-50751), https://www.securityweek.com/check-point-vpn-zero-day-exploited-in-qilin-ransomware-attacks/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S38: Tier 1 CISA KEV catalog entry / NVD, "CVE-2026-50751", https://nvd.nist.gov/vuln/detail/CVE-2026-50751, accessed 2026-08-28
- S39: Tier 2 Arctic Wolf, "Cookie Crumbles: Exploitation of CVE-2026-0257 Leads to Qilin Ransomware", https://arcticwolf.com/resources/blog/exploitation-of-cve-2026-0257-leads-to-qilin-ransomware/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S40: Tier 2 FortiGuard Labs, "Qilin Ransomware — Threat Actor" (broad CVE capability-association list), https://www.fortiguard.com/threat-actor/6254/qilin-ransomware, accessed 2026-08-28
- S41: Tier 2 SANS Institute, "The Evolution of Qilin RaaS" (WikiLeaksV2 clearnet leak site, May 2024), https://www.sans.org/blog/evolution-qilin-raas, accessed 2026-08-28
- S42: Tier 2 Arctic Wolf, "Cookie Crumbles" (WikiLeaksV2 clearnet leak site screenshot/description), https://arcticwolf.com/resources/blog/exploitation-of-cve-2026-0257-leads-to-qilin-ransomware/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S43: Tier 2 GuidePoint Security (GRIT) 2026 Ransomware & Cyber Threat Report (Qilin on-chain payment analysis), https://www.guidepointsecurity.com/resources/grit-2026-ransomware-and-cyber-threat-report/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S44: Tier 1 Chainalysis, "Crypto Ransomware: 2026 Crypto Crime Report", https://www.chainalysis.com/blog/crypto-ransomware-2026/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S45: Tier 2 GuidePoint Security (GRIT), "Q1 2026 Ransomware & Cyber Threat Insights Report" (Qilin QoQ decline, US 51%), https://www.guidepointsecurity.com/resources/grit-q1-2026-ransomware-cyber-threat-insights-report/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S46: Tier 2 SentinelOne, "Agenda (Qilin) Ransomware — Detection and Mitigation" (no public decryptor), https://www.sentinelone.com/anthology/agenda-qilin/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S47: Tier 3 SalvageData, "Qilin (Agenda) Ransomware: Complete Guide" (no known public decryptor as of 2026), https://www.salvagedata.com/blog/qilin-agenda-ransomware, accessed 2026-08-28
- S48: Tier 3 Mabira Conrad William, "Operation Black Wing: A Qilin Ransomware Affiliate Engagement Against an East African Logistics Provider," Hashnode, 2026-04-28 (first-hand IR reconstruction; recovered ransom note naming clearnet domain wikileaks2.site; surfaced via Flare/Tierone Tor-forum repost, first seen 2026-05-02), https://cxnrvd.hashnode.dev/operation-black-wing-a-qilin-ransomware-affiliate-engagement-against-an-east-african-logistics-provider, accessed 2026-08-28
- S49: Tier 2 Group-IB, "Hastalamuerte / The Gentlemen RaaS TTPs" (ArmCorp as a former Qilin affiliate; RAMP payment dispute assessed as pretext for a pre-planned exit), https://www.group-ib.com/blog/hastalamuerte-gentlemen-raas-ttps/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S50: Tier 2 Krebs on Security, "Who Runs the Ransomware Group 'The Gentlemen?'" (ArmCorp / Qilin-affiliate origin; operator attribution), https://krebsonsecurity.com/2026/06/who-runs-the-ransomware-group-the-gentlemen/, 2026-06-10, accessed 2026-08-28
- S51: Tier 2 Cybereason, "Threat Alert: Ransomware Gangs Collapse as Qilin Seizes Control" (affiliate-panel feature set: four encryption modes, safe-mode execution, Call Lawyer, Rust-on-Windows / C-on-Linux/ESXi, DDoS added Apr 2025), https://www.cybereason.com/blog/threat-alert-qilin-seizes-control, accessed 2026-08-28
- S52: Tier 2 ESET / WeLiveSecurity, "Killing me gently: Inside Gentlemen's EDR killer framework" (PRODAFT: The Gentlemen operators previously affiliates of Qilin, Embargo, LockBit, Medusa, BlackLock), https://www.welivesecurity.com/en/eset-research/killing-me-gently-inside-gentlemens-edr-killer-framework/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S53: [Tier 1, first-party observation] Flare collection, RootSploit forum: "Qilin RaaS" affiliate-recruitment thread posted by the account "Qilin." Observation record: platform Flare; forum RootSploit; first observed 2025-12-25; last observed 2026-07-17; recruitment Tox retained and published defanged in the Indicators. The dated thread and Tox are a direct primary observation of actor infrastructure, which the schema rates Tier 1. The advertised capability set is corroborated by vendor reporting (S51, S6). No public corroboration is expected for first-party dark-web collection. Accessed 2026-08-28
- S54: Tier 3 Solar安全 (via pediy forum), "[深度解析] The Gentlemen" (aggregation citing Check Point; source of the reported USD 48,000 affiliate-commission figure), 2026-06-23, accessed 2026-08-28
- S55: Tier 2 ZeroFox, "Flash Report: FBI Seizes Dark Web Forum RAMP" (RAMP seized 2026-01-28; Qilin among the RaaS groups that recruited there), https://www.zerofox.com/intelligence/flash-report-fbi-seizes-dark-web-forum-ramp/, 2026-01-29, accessed 2026-08-28
- S56: Tier 3 BleepingComputer, "FBI seizes RAMP cybercrime forum used by ransomware gangs" (FBI seizure banner on the Tor site and the ramp4u[.]io clearnet domain; admin "Stallman" confirmed the loss on XSS), https://www.bleepingcomputer.com/news/security/fbi-seizes-ramp-cybercrime-forum-used-by-ransomware-gangs/, 2026-01-28, accessed 2026-08-28
- S57: Tier 2 Rapid7, "The Post-RAMP Era: Allegations, Fragmentation, and the Rebuilding of the Ransomware Underground" (post-seizure fragmentation and migration to Tierone and Rehub), https://www.rapid7.com/blog/post/tr-post-ramp-allegations-fragmentation-ransomware-underground-rebuild/, 2026-02-25, accessed 2026-08-28
- S58: Tier 2 Microsoft Threat Intelligence, "Moonstone Sleet emerges as new North Korean threat actor with new bag of tricks" (FakePenny custom ransomware attributed to Moonstone Sleet; April 2024 attack; USD 6.6M BTC demand; ransom note overlaps NotPetya), https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/security/blog/2024/05/28/moonstone-sleet-emerges-as-new-north-korean-threat-actor-with-new-bag-of-tricks/, 2024-05-28, accessed 2026-08-28
- S59: Tier 2 Yarix (YLabs), "In-depth analysis of the alleged Qilin, DragonForce and LockBit alliance" (2025-09-15 DragonForce RAMP post; assessed as a reputational survival strategy, not operational integration), https://labs.yarix.com/2025/12/in-depth-analysis-of-the-alleged-qilin-dragonforce-and-lockbit-alliance/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S60: Tier 2 Halcyon, "LockBit — threat group profile" (no combined leak site or jointly executed attacks confirmed; arrangement described as smaller than advertised), https://www.halcyon.ai/threat-group/lockbit, accessed 2026-08-28
- S61: Tier 2 ReliaQuest, "Threat Spotlight: Ransomware and Cyber Extortion in Q3 2025" (origin of the coalition framing; states the collaboration was "expected to" facilitate sharing, a forward-looking expectation, not an observation), https://reliaquest.com/blog/threat-spotlight-ransomware-and-cyber-extortion-in-q3-2025/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S62: Tier 1 CISA, "#StopRansomware: LockBit 3.0" (AA23-165A; records the September 2022 public leak of the LockBit 3.0 builder), https://www.cisa.gov/news-events/cybersecurity-advisories/aa23-165a, accessed 2026-08-28
- S63: Tier 2 Group-IB, "DragonForce ransomware" (DragonForce operates a variant built from the leaked LockBit 3.0 builder), https://www.group-ib.com/blog/dragonforce-ransomware/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S64: Tier 2 Privacy Insight Solutions, "Qilin Ransomware Threat Profile" (WikiLeaksV2 operational clearnet mirror at wikileaks2.com, live since May 2024; about 141 listings in a trailing 30-day window as of May 2026), https://privacyinsightsolutions.com/blog/qilin-ransomware-threat-profile, accessed 2026-08-28
- S65: Tier 3 WatchGuard Ransomware Tracker, "WikiLeaksV2" (Qilin-attributed clearnet WikiLeaksV2 at wikileaksv2.com, IP 31.41.244.100; first seen September 2024), https://www.watchguard.com/wgrd-security-hub/ransomware-tracker/wikileaksv2, accessed 2026-08-28
- S66: Tier 3 derp.ca, "Qilin: inside the Windows ransomware build" (CheckQilin ransom-note teardown; wikileaks2.site registered 2025-03-02 via Global Domain Group, ran behind Cloudflare, not renewed, lapsed to registrar parking around 2026-03-02), https://www.derp.ca/research/qilin-ransomware-teardown/, accessed 2026-08-28
- S67: [Tier 1, first-party] Arkem Cyber internal reporting on Qilin operator geography (first-party Arkem collection supporting the Russia origin assessment beyond the public indicators; specific sourcing withheld for source protection, consistent with the first-party-observation convention used for S53), accessed 2026-08-28
- S68: Tier 2 SuspectFile, "The Alliance That Wasn't: A Critical Analysis of ReliaQuest's Q3 2025 Ransomware Report" (independent analysis finding no shared infrastructure, tooling, or joint operations behind the DragonForce, LockBit, and Qilin coalition framing), https://www.suspectfile.com/the-alliance-that-wasnt-a-critical-analysis-of-reliaquests-q3-2025-ransomware-report/, accessed 2026-09-30